By Denis Korn
In January of this year I posted the article below. Here is the segment of that article I want to focus upon in this post: As you reflect on the scenarios that you presume might – or might not – occur, think about the concept of a “triggering event.” Ask yourself, “What are the triggering events that will motivate me to immediate action?” “What triggering event will launch the imminent arrival of the scenario I have presumed might occur or thought wouldn’t occur?” If you have created a list of triggering events, you will be on the look out for possible immediate action.
It is time to be specific! Whether an emergency can be short term and have only a minimal disruption in your daily routine, or catastrophic requiring a significant change in life style, apathy and ignorance will not be bliss. While I’m not a prophet or psychic, I do have the discernment skills to realize that we live in very precarious and uncertain times. Between acts of God or geophysical events and man-made devastating incidents, there are so many potential scenarios that could come to pass, that being continually vigilant is essential.
See update at end of post - Added July 10
Based on the potential scenarios listed at the bottom of this post, here are some of my specific triggering events:
- Declaration of an imminent weather event
- A pattern of major and/or catastrophic weather events
- Significant indication of, or actual occurrence of, a major physical event or multiple events
- Prolonged drought leading to possible food shortages
- Potential loss of job, income or bank accounts due to government or corporate actions
- Serious personal illness
- Substantial instability in national and global financial markets
- The elimination of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency
- Bank holiday’s
- An indication of a major financial restructuring
- Economic collapse
- Shortages of critical foods, medications and provisions
- Curious and strange activity of government officials, corporate executives and the very wealthy
- Social unrest and civil disobedience leading to severe government and police action
- Martial law being declared
- The suspension of the 1st and/or 2nd amendments – freedom of speech, religion, assembly, etc. and the right to bear arms
- Strict control over the internet
- Major cyber attack
- Suspension of elections
- Terrorist attack, act of war or preparation for war
- Disruption of oil supplies
- National medical or biological emergency – real or contrived
- Activation of emergency presidential powers that will control everyone’s normal activities
- An extraordinary governmental or media deception
- Severe solar activity that could lead to CME’s (Coronal Mass Ejection) and major disruption of the electrical and communication grid
- A profound and extraordinary religious, spiritual or cosmological event
- Signs of an imminent pole shift or major geophysical event
- An announcement by the government – widespread or to a confidential group – to relocate, leave coastal areas and to seek secure surroundings
Be encouraged – I hope none of these events or circumstances ever happen – And if they do God help us – as we help ourselves, our loved ones and our neighbors!
January 2012 post:
2012 has arrived and with it a growing number of people believe serious physical, political and economic events could be occurring worldwide, it is once again essential to direct your attention to what I have identified as a “triggering event.” (Stay tuned, as a student of prophecy and preparedness scenarios since 1969, I will be posting my take on 2012 very soon)
Simply put, if you are still hesitating to prepare for emergencies or disasters, I urge you to identify and assign significance to a triggering event that will finally motivate you to provide for yourself and family during a significant emergency.
I have written on this subject before – it is even more timely today than it was then. Folks that have followed my posts know that I do not subscribe to the doom-and-gloom end-of-the world mindset. One’s proper attitude regarding disaster planning is essential in maintaining the environment for critical thinking and effective results. You are not only what you eat – you are what you think and what you focus your attention on.
Being able to discern reality from fantasy - hopeful thinking from critical thinking – prudent planning from no planning – wise counsel from foolish counsel – the truth from the lie – a slick sales pitch from the facts – can be the difference between distress and peace of mind or even life and death during an unforeseen emergency.
You don’t have to believe in catastrophic events to be prepared. Being prepared for the unexpected is simply a good idea. Whatever your perspective, being aware of world events during these critical times and the their potential effect upon you and your family and friends is the responsible attitude to embrace.
Many folks are reluctant to plan ahead, or they assume that the government or others will take care of them, or they are just too busy, or they just don’t think it is necessary. As an option to doing nothing or to enhance some other method of emergency preparedness planning you have chosen, consider the following. As you reflect on the scenarios that you presume might – or might not – occur, think about the concept of a “triggering event.” Ask yourself, “What are the triggering events that will motivate me to immediate action?” “What triggering event will launch the imminent arrival of the scenario I have presumed might occur or thought wouldn’t occur?” If you have created a list of triggering events, you will be on the look out for possible immediate action. This is especially important if you have considered scenarios that will have a long term impact on the supply of goods and services that are required to sustain your basic needs.
If there are items that are essential to your well-being such as medical products, devices, children’s products, or special nutritional foods, then being alert to a potential disruption of vital needs is crucial. While it is always desirable to plan ahead and have provisions in place, it is better to react at the last minute than not at all. Know exactly what you need, how much will be adequate, where you have to go to supply your needs, how you will get there, and how you will pay for your supplies. Obviously some scenarios may offer some prior indications, such as hurricanes, storms, or economic/political issues; while others can occur without warning. You are responsible – you must choose to act or not – unfortunately non action can have severe consequences for yourself and your family!
If you have been hesitant to act or even reflect about preparedness planning you are encouraged to seriously consider this post.
|Acts of God||Man Made||Earth Changes|
|Local – Regional||National||National/Worldwide|
|Earthquake||Government regulation/control||Catastrophic Weather|
|Fire||Food Shortages||Pole Shift|
|Hurricane||Societal Breakdown||Solar Flare – CME|
|Tornado||Medical Emergency||Severe Earth Changes|
|Power Outage||Major Accident|
|Mud Slide||Terrorism Attack|
|EMP – Electrical Magnetic Pulse Attack|
|Illness||Cyber Attack – No internet|
|Financial LossTime Frames3 Days to 2 Weeks
Minor to moderate inconvenience and disruption of the daily routine. Basic supplies in the first 3 days would be valuable for comfort but not essential. An adequate amount of basic supplies after 3 days are important.
3 Weeks to 2 Months
The inconvenience is very noticeable and the routine disruption can be significant. Supplies required are usually on hand, and stockpiling some supplies will be very important.
3 Months to 6 Months
Preparedness planning is very important and a serious disruption to the daily routine is inevitable. Mobility and location to wait out the emergency is important in your planning. Proper supplies will be critical. Medical and other special needs must be planned for in advance.
6 Months to 1 Year
Unless you are very prepared and are committed to self-reliance, in this time frame your lifestyle will definitely be impacted. Serious attention to your preparedness planning is required. The questions covered in the foundational articles must be answered and a realistic plan created. Action and provisions are essential. You will be dealing with serious issues during this time period, and you must be prepared.
1 Year or More
Scenarios actualized in this time frame are this most serious and catastrophic, and will require a serious commitment to lifestyle changes. You will be dealing with national and worldwide calamity. The extent of the impact on everyone’s life can not be over emphasized. Significant and detailed planning is required, and even with this an emergency situation of this duration will be wrought with uncertainty. This will be a time for community togetherness, sharing, and mutual support. Skills not normally possessed by folks will be required. Gardening and other self-reliant skills will be essential. Books, tools, and other valuable resources will be vital.
Update July 10: I just came across this article – very timely.
Americans Are Indifferent Toward Disasters, Survey Says
BY: Elaine Pittman| June 25, 2012
How many communication methods is your agency using to alert the public about emergencies? Probably not enough, according to a recently released survey.
Although 2011 was widely reported as having a record number of emergencies, Americans remain complacent when it comes to disasters and less than one-half of people surveyed said they would take action based on a severe weather warning. Federal Signal’s 2012 Public Safety Survey painted a grim picture of Americans’ readiness and their knowledge of emergency alert systems in their communities.
Despite the investments made by emergency management and public safety agencies in alerting and notification systems, a majority of respondents (71 percent) said they were unsure if their area has such a system.
“I think really what it points to is a need for continued communication and education by emergency managers and other public safety officials with their citizenry about the ways in which they can be warned,” said John Von Thaden, vice president and general manager at Federal Signal, a provider of alerting and notification systems. He added that the numerous communication platforms that are available make the task of getting the message to the public more difficult.
“Some people still want to receive them on their television and some people expect a phone call and others a text message, and others are looking for more traditional outdoor warning sirens depending on the area in which they live and the kind of events that may occur,” Von Thaden said.
According to the 2012 survey, communication from a local alert notification system would motivate the most people to prepare (36.2 percent) followed by a radio/TV public service announcement (30.6 percent); community warning siren (20.9 percent); communication from friends and/or family members (7.7 percent); reading news online (2.6 percent); and for some, no notifications would have an impact (1.9 percent).
To ensure that messages reach as many people as possible, Von Thaden recommended using a layered approach. Utilizing outdoor and indoor warning systems, telephone and text-based notifications, cable TV and local radio and TV stations as well as social media platforms will spread the message through numerous communication channels. Another reason why it’s important to use more than one communications channel is because people are going to validate the information they receive before acting on it. The survey found that 28 percent of respondents said they would like to see an alert or notification confirmed on a secondary system. “Which we certainly saw in many events like Joplin [Mo.] where people ignored the first warning and were looking for confirmation of the warning before they took any steps to protect themselves,” Von Thaden said.
Another surprising finding was people’s “indifference,” as Von Thaden called it, toward disasters. The survey found that one-third of people would require actually seeing property damage or injury in order to care strongly about public safety awareness.
“I think it certainly plays to these human factors that people often think that danger or adversity is going to happen to someone else,” he said. “And so those of us in emergency management and caring for public safety need to help people understand the importance of preparation — the fact that they too could find themselves in harm’s way.”
Educating citizens about ongoing preparedness and public safety efforts is key — a majority of survey respondents (58 percent) felt that ensuring sufficient public safety and communications planning for events was the responsibility of state and regional officials. Highlighting exercise and emergency planning and preparedness activities through numerous communications channels will help spread the word about local initiatives and educate more people about what’s being done in their community.
Other significant findings from the survey include:
- 33.8 percent of Americans rated their level of public safety awareness and preparedness as very low, followed by somewhat high (25.9 percent), somewhat low (21.9 percent), not sure (10.3 percent) and very high (8.1 percent);
- 56.6 percent of respondents did not know when sirens in their area are tested;
- 34.3 percent said reading about or hearing statistics about the likelihood of a severe community event would make them care strongly about public safety awareness in general; and
- 43 percent felt that the economy has had a negative impact on the level of public safety investment in their community.
The online survey included 2,059 adults and was conducted by Zogby International.